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Table 3 Risk classification comparing predicted and observed risks of the outcome using five groups of predicted probability, and associated likelihood ratios in each group. Data are from main model predicting acute end organ injury or death from 20 weeks' gestation until 42 days after birth (n = 634,290)

From: Development and internal validation of a model predicting severe maternal morbidity using pre-conception and early pregnancy variables: a population-based study in Ontario, Canada

Predicted risk group (per 1000)

Observed acute end-organ injury or death

Yes

n (%)

No

n (%)

Likelihood ratio

95% CI

Very low risk

< 1.5

72 (3.66)

55,957 (8.85)

0.41

0.33–0.52

Low risk

1.5 to 3.0

834 (42.36)

403,060 (63.74)

0.66

0.61–0.72

Intermediate risk

3.0 to 5.0

408 (20.72)

108,085 (17.09)

1.21

1.09–1.35

High risk

5.0 to 15.0

485 (24.63)

58,854 (9.31)

2.65

2.40–2.92

Very high risk

> 15.0

170 (8.63)

6365 (1.01)

8.58

7.32–10.05

Total

1969 (100)

632,321 (100)

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